GGOALVIO

Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie E · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kozlovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SK Krumvir 3-0 Kozlovice

Original prediction

Kozlovice

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2128.2%21.9%-6.3 pts
Draw4.1022.1%20.3%-1.8 pts
Away1.8249.8%57.8%8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Kozlovice

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Kozlovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SK KrumvirLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KozloviceWDDWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SK KrumvirKozlovice
55.6Attack85.2
55.6Defence70.4
70.4Form77.8
61.3Power76.5
1.12xG2.16
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