SK Beverenvs
St. Truiden
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Beveren 2-0 St. Truiden
Original prediction
St. Truiden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 32.0% | 29.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 24.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 41.3% | 46.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
St. Truiden
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60