GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SK Beveren · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SK Beveren are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Seraing United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SK Beveren hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Challenger Pro League, while SK Beveren holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SK Beveren

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SK BeverenLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Seraing UnitedWDDDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SK BeverenSeraing United
48.9Attack36.7
55.6Defence43.3
50.0Form31.1
52.5Power38.7
1.86xG0.86
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