SK Beverenvs
OH Leuven
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/6/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Beveren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Beveren 3-0 OH Leuven
Original prediction
SK Beveren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.1% | 43.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.5% | 26.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 31.4% | 30.5% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
SK Beveren
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00