SK Beverenvs
Lommel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Beveren · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SK Beveren 0-0 Lommel United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel United
Original prediction
SK Beveren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.0% | 42.7% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.7% | 28.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 23.3% | 28.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Projected Score
SK Beveren 0–0 Lommel United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
SK Beveren
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20