SK Beverenvs
Habay-la-Neuve
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Beveren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SK Beveren 3-0 Habay-la-Neuve
Original prediction
SK Beveren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 82.3% | 50.6% | -31.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.65 | 12.0% | 23.3% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 15.93 | 5.8% | 26.1% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
SK Beveren
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
SK Beveren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00