Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
SJK are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PEPO are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Suomen Cup, while SJK holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SJK
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
8.8%
SJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00