Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SJK 0-0 Lahti, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
SJK 1-0 Lahti
Original prediction
Lahti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.7% | 31.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.9% | 30.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.4% | 37.4% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
SJK 0–0 Lahti
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SJKWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LahtiDLWWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SJKLahti
37.3Attack40.0
53.3Defence68.0
32.0Form48.0
42.6Power53.2
0.74xG1.06