SJKvs
IFK Mariehamn
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 4/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
SJK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while SJK holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SJK
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
SJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40