Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Veikkausliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60