GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 8/24/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Turku PSWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaTurku PS
15.8Attack49.4
56.1Defence64.2
21.1Form53.1
34.1Power56.3
0.59xG1.28
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