GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 4/29/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLLWWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Turku PSDWWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SJK AkatemiaTurku PS
15.8Attack49.4
56.1Defence64.2
21.1Form53.1
34.1Power56.3
0.59xG1.28
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