GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 4/21/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SJK Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SalPa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.7 against 53.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Ykkönen, while SJK Akatemia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SJK Akatemia

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

SJK Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SalPaWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaSalPa
59.8Attack59.6
42.5Defence45.6
54.0Form52.6
53.7Power53.1
2.14xG1.91
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