GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 8/30/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SalPaLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaSalPa
15.8Attack38.3
56.1Defence40.7
21.1Form35.8
34.1Power39.9
1.03xG0.95
View match centre →