SJK Akatemiavs
SalPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 7/28/2025, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK Akatemia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80