SJK Akatemiavs
SalPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 5/19/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40