GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 10/6/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PK-35

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDLLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35LDWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SJK AkatemiaPK-35
15.8Attack54.4
56.1Defence75.4
21.1Form66.7
34.1Power65.7
0.44xG1.45
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