GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 7/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PK-35

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35LLDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaPK-35
15.8Attack54.4
56.1Defence75.4
21.1Form66.7
34.1Power65.7
0.44xG1.45
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