SJK Akatemiavs
MP
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 9/27/2024, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK Akatemia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20