GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 7/8/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lahti are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lahti

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLLWLW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LahtiWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaLahti
15.8Attack66.7
56.1Defence63.0
21.1Form71.6
34.1Power68.6
0.59xG1.79
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