GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 5/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SJK Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while KäPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK Akatemia hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Ykkönen, while SJK Akatemia holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SJK Akatemia

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

SJK Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KäPaLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SJK AkatemiaKäPa
59.8Attack54.3
42.5Defence34.6
54.0Form33.3
53.7Power41.9
2.67xG1.68
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