SJK Akatemiavs
KäPa
SCHEDULEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00