SJK Akatemiavs
KäPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK Akatemia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SJK Akatemia 2-3 KäPa
Original prediction
SJK Akatemia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.9% | 36.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 27.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 36.3% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
SJK Akatemia
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
SJK Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20