GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 6/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaLWDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KäPaLDLLW

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SJK AkatemiaKäPa
15.8Attack35.1
56.1Defence43.9
21.1Form28.1
34.1Power38.4
0.98xG0.86
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