GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 8/13/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KäPaLLLWD

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaKäPa
15.8Attack35.1
56.1Defence43.9
21.1Form28.1
34.1Power38.4
0.98xG0.86
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