SJK Akatemiavs
KäPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 7/20/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SJK Akatemia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20