GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 5/3/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Klubi-04 hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaWLWWD

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Klubi-04LLWWL

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaKlubi-04
15.8Attack26.3
56.1Defence57.9
21.1Form22.8
34.1Power38.0
0.74xG0.67
View match centre →