GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 5/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JäPS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

21.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JäPSWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaJäPS
14.8Attack31.6
53.7Defence54.4
16.7Form49.1
31.6Power46.8
0.77xG0.85
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