GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 9/28/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
JäPSDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SJK AkatemiaJäPS
15.8Attack31.6
56.1Defence54.4
21.1Form49.1
34.1Power46.8
0.77xG0.80
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