GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 4/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JäPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JäPSLWLLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SJK AkatemiaJäPS
15.8Attack31.6
56.1Defence54.4
21.1Form49.1
34.1Power46.8
0.77xG0.80
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