GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 4/14/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SJK Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK Akatemia hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Ykkönen, while SJK Akatemia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SJK Akatemia

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

SJK Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDDWDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
FF JaroDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
SJK AkatemiaFF Jaro
59.8Attack40.7
42.5Defence48.1
54.0Form38.3
53.7Power44.0
2.10xG1.27
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