GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 9/14/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FF Jaro

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaDDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FF JaroWLLWD

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SJK AkatemiaFF Jaro
15.8Attack63.0
56.1Defence63.0
21.1Form66.7
34.1Power64.6
0.60xG1.68
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