GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 4/20/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SJK Akatemia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FF Jaro

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SJK AkatemiaWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FF JaroWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaFF Jaro
15.8Attack63.0
56.1Defence63.0
21.1Form66.7
34.1Power64.6
0.60xG1.68
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