Siwelelevs
Polokwane City
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polokwane City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Siwelele 1-0 Polokwane City
Original prediction
Polokwane City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.5% | 31.1% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.4% | 28.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.0% | 40.1% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Polokwane City
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Polokwane City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20