Siwelelevs
Golden Arrows
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Golden Arrows · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Siwelele 0-0 Golden Arrows, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Siwelele 1-1 Golden Arrows
Original prediction
Golden Arrows
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.7% | 27.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.3% | 31.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.0% | 41.4% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Projected Score
Siwelele 0–0 Golden Arrows
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Golden Arrows
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Golden Arrows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00