GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/13/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sivasspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sivasspor are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Samsunspor are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sivasspor hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Süper Lig, while Sivasspor holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sivasspor

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Sivasspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SivassporDWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 2.25/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
SamsunsporL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
SivassporSamsunspor
41.2Attack36.8
52.6Defence54.4
47.4Form37.7
49.1Power44.9
1.23xG0.94
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