Sivassporvs
Pendikspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sivasspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sivasspor 4-1 Pendikspor
Original prediction
Sivasspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.5% | 37.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.0% | 29.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.4% | 32.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sivasspor
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Sivasspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40