Sivassporvs
Mardin 1969
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sivasspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sivasspor 2-2 Mardin 1969
Original prediction
Sivasspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.4% | 38.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 29.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.8% | 32.0% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sivasspor
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Sivasspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SivassporLDLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mardin 1969DWWDL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SivassporMardin 1969
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.24xG1.06