GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sittingbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sittingbourne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ashford Town (Middlesex) have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sittingbourne hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the FA Trophy, while Sittingbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sittingbourne

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Sittingbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SittingbourneWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ashford Town (Middlesex)No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
SittingbourneAshford Town (Middlesex)
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.94xG1.28
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