Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malkiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sitra are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malkiya are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Malkiya hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Premier League, while Malkiya holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malkiya
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
12.4%
Malkiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60