Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sitra · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sitra are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Busaiteen are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sitra hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Premier League, while Sitra holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sitra
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Sitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00