Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sitra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sitra 0-0 Al-Hidd
Original prediction
Sitra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.9% | 41.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.9% | 28.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.2% | 29.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sitra
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Sitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SitraDWWWL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-HiddLWWWL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
SitraAl-Hidd
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
71.2Power56.2
1.41xG1.02