Sisaket Unitedvs
Chonburi FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sisaket United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sisaket United 2-1 Chonburi FC
Original prediction
Sisaket United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.7% | 40.1% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 28.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.2% | 31.9% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Sisaket United
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Sisaket United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60