Sisaket Unitedvs
Ayutthaya FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayutthaya FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sisaket United 0-1 Ayutthaya FC
Original prediction
Ayutthaya FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.8% | 32.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.7% | 27.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.5% | 40.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Ayutthaya FC
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Ayutthaya FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80