Siroki Brijegvs
FK Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siroki Brijeg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Siroki Brijeg 0-0 FK Sarajevo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Siroki Brijeg 1-2 FK Sarajevo
Original prediction
Siroki Brijeg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.1% | 38.5% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.4% | 30.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 31.5% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Projected Score
Siroki Brijeg 0–0 FK Sarajevo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Siroki Brijeg
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Siroki Brijeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80