Siroki Brijegvs
Čelik
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siroki Brijeg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Siroki Brijeg 1-0 Čelik, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Siroki Brijeg 0-0 Čelik
Original prediction
Siroki Brijeg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 49.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 27.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.1% | 22.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Čelik
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Siroki Brijeg
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Siroki Brijeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Siroki BrijegWDLDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ČelikLDDWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Siroki BrijegČelik
36.7Attack36.7
63.3Defence50.0
43.3Form30.0
50.8Power40.5
1.21xG0.71