GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siroki Brijeg · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Siroki Brijeg 1-1 BSK Banja Luka

Original prediction

Siroki Brijeg

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6854.1%47.1%-7.0 pts
Draw3.4126.6%27.1%0.5 pts
Away4.7119.3%25.8%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Siroki Brijeg

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Siroki Brijeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siroki BrijegLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BSK Banja LukaWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Siroki BrijegBSK Banja Luka
38.9Attack38.9
61.1Defence50.0
44.4Form33.3
51.1Power42.8
1.33xG0.93
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