GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Sirius are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vasteras SK FK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sirius

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SiriusWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vasteras SK FKDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SiriusVasteras SK FK
91.7Attack52.1
60.4Defence39.6
87.5Form52.1
80.9Power49.5
3.45xG1.03
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