Siriusvs
Orgryte IS
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 5/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Sirius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orgryte IS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
89.1%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00