Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
9%
LowconfidenceSirius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Malmo FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Allsvenskan, favouring Sirius with 8.9% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
8.9%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SiriusWWWWD
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Malmo FFLWLDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SiriusMalmo FF
93.3Attack66.7
62.2Defence44.4
91.1Form51.1
83.3Power54.7
3.16xG1.27