Siriusvs
Degerfors IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/14/2026, 5:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sirius 2-0 Degerfors IF
Original prediction
Sirius
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 65.2% | 77.9% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.7% | 13.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Away | 6.57 | 14.1% | 8.2% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
77.9%
Model confidence
77.9%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SiriusWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Degerfors IFWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SiriusDegerfors IF
80.0Attack31.7
55.0Defence48.3
75.0Form31.7
70.7Power38.9
2.94xG0.71